It must be noted that along with the Lok Sabha results, results to 8 assembly bye-elections were announced. Showik Chakraborty arrested by the Narcotic Team, Daily Coronavirus India Tracker : More than 80,000 Cases for 2nd Day. Each prediction is similar to a company in the stock market, Instead of real money, you trade with 10000 points that you can buy at the beginning of the game. Notably, if AIMIM enters the political arena of Bengal, it will directly affect the Trinamool Congress which has a huge support base in the Muslim dominated areas. Schemes like the Kanyashree and Rupashree, flagship schemes of the Mamata government, have helped the Trinamool win over women voters in 2016 and 2019. During a visit to the Dakshineswar Kali Temple, Shah castigated the TMC government for adopting appeasement politics, which he said had hurt the state’s age-old tradition of upholding the nation’s spiritual consciousness. We hope to update more districts in the near future. Lok Sabha election result has set a warning bell ringing for Mamata Banerjee. Using our usual wisdom of the crowd approach (small sample), we have attempted to determine the likely winners in the election in 2021. Earlier, Shah also had lunch at the house of a party worker, who belonged to the Matua community, in Baguihati area of North 24 Parganas district. Bengal Opinion Poll 2021 Prediction: BJP Trinamool Congress 3-3 in Dakshin Dinajpur, We completed our second opinion poll in Bengal this season. skills and knowledge about the Bengal voters helped BJP gain in the state. Sushant Death Investigation takes a narcotics twist, China India Conflict: Army Chief lands in Ladakh, Google: Gap between BJP and Congress lowest since Jan 2019, Coronavirus Vaccine Tracker : Over 136 Vaccines being Developed around the World, Former President Pranab Mukherjee is Dead, Uttar Pradesh Coronavirus Update : State Conducts over 1 Million Tests in Last 8 Days, Tamil Nadu COVID-19 Cases Cross 4 Lakh Mark, Coronavirus India Update: Cases Rise in Delhi Once Again, Coronavirus Cases In India : Gujarat Model vs Kerala Model, Sushant Coverage takes Republic News almost to the Top. The Bengal Election 2021 is still 10 months away but the State is heating up. For 40-long hours, no reporter, including women journalists, were allowed to go to Hathras,” the TMC MP said. Congress lost its traditional bastions of Malda, Murshidabad and Uttar Dinajpur and its vote share dipped from 9.58 per cent in 2014 to around 5.6 per cent in 2019. “I want to ask (Chief Minister) Mamata Banerjee to come out with a white paper on political killings in Bengal.”. With a population of about 3 crore, who wins the trust of this electorate, could decide the fate of the elections. With these kinds of losses and correcting for BJP losses due to absence of Modi on the ticket, TMC could still end up with less than 100 seats in the assembly election. BJP managed to win 18 Lok Sabha seats in the state of West Bengal securing 40 percent vote-share. Many Equations may change later.— The Enigmous (@_TheEnigmous) June 25, 2020. There is strong anti-incumbency against the Mamata Government as can be seen in the latest Best Chief Minister in India surveys, Mekliganj, Mathabhanga, Tufanganj, Cooch Behar Uttar, Cooch Behar Dakshin, Sitalkuchi, Natabari, Read about why Mamata Banerjee could lose the 2021 West bengal assembly election, Read about why Mamata will win 2021 election, Kumargram, Kalchini, Alipurduar, Madarihat, Dhupguri, Dabgram-Fulbari, Nagrakata, Mal, Habibpur, Gazole, Manikchak, Malda, English Bazaar, Total Seats Covered by Uttar Banga Sambad- 51 Seats, BJP-23, TMC-10, Left Front/INC-9, Too Close: 9. Since Banerjee does not have an alliance partner to back her up, this balance of maintaining focus on localized issues while attacking Modi at the centre is what the Trinamool will be harnessing. The answer is YES for the moment. You can also sell a prediction if you are convinced it will not come true or you find a better alternative. Mamata Banerjee’s policy of minority appeasement proved to be blessing for BJP in the state. The result was enough to send warning signals to Mamata Banerjee. 1. -->. The Left needs to reclaim that space, not just for the elections, but also to script its revival in the state. Overall BJP won 18 out of the 42 lok sabha seats in the state. “And there’s also no need to impose Article 356 as the government will change next April (assembly polls),” he added. What happened in Eastern Ladakh during the last week of August? This was a major source of criticism until a few weeks back. The recent incidents in Bengal however, does not prove that Mamata Banerjee has learn any lesson from the result of Lok Sabha election. “Be rest assured, Bengal has and will always stand up to protect the soul of the country.”. It is clear that both the BJP and the Trinamool have made and want to make this a Modi vs Mamata contest, hoping to capitalise on the personality power both bring. Mamata Banerjee aims to make her nephew the next chief minister,” he said at a press conference in Kolkata. BJP is knocking hard at the doors of Mamata Banerjee. “The Mamata Banerjee government has failed to keep its promises. In a state where 34% of the rural seats was won by the ruling TMC uncontested, BJP for the first time made huge inroads in the state. Congress on the other hand were able to win 2 Lok Sabha seat in the state. Copyright © HT Media Limited All rights reserved. When I watch the political Scenario of West Bengal, I strongly feel that the Bengali politics is not the same as it used to be earlier. The 2019 Lok Sabha election result proved that path for Mamata Banerjee to retain the state once again is not going to be easier. “I urge the people of the state to give the BJP a chance as they have given Congress, the communists and the TMC a chance in the past.”. In Bengal, TMC won 211 seats in the 2016 assembly election. The party contested on 20 Assembly seats under the banner of Grand Democratic Secular Front (GDSF), which also comprised of Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party headed by former Union minister Upendra Kushwaha. Amit Shah sets the agenda for 2021 Bengal election,slams TMC over ... “As far his predictions of 200 ... winning 18 of the 42 Lok Sabha seats in West Bengal in the 2019 general election… "Those who think they can kill BJP workers and win elections must see the writing on the wall," said Prime Minister Narendra Modi while addressing BJP workers in Delhi, while congratulating them for his party, the BJP's, win in the Bihar elections. […] Also Read : Will Mamata Lose Bengal? Predict: Three or more Congress MLA’s to join BJP in Maharashtra by end of June? Why is the TMC not arresting him (Gurung) now when he has so many cases against him?” Shah asked. If BJP is able to hold on to its lead and increase its vote share by few percentage, West Bengal Assembly elections 2021, would be a major upset for Mamata Banerjee’s TMC. PIL Against Population Explosion In the month of May 2018, Ashwin Kumar Upadhyay moved a PIL in Delhi High Court to direct the Centre to implement population control measures on the ground that population explosion was the root cause behind rise in crimes, pollution and dearth of resources and jobs in the country. In our opinion poll in Birbhum which is just adjoining North Bengal, Trinamool was losing 6 out of 9 seats it held in 2016 (see below). AIMIM has done well in Bihar’s Seemanchal region, that borders Bengal and is home to many Muslims of Bengali origin. Overall, Mamata and TMC are in trouble. Winning over Matuas is a work in progress. Subscribe To Our Daily Newsletter And Get News Delivered Straight To Your Inbox. 2021 West Bengal assembly elections: Left-Congress talks on seat-sharing to begin next week Community spread of Covid-19 seen in Bengal, follow … Dilip Ghosh of BJP has improved quite a bit since April 2019 as a potentially challenger but the gap with the TMC leader Mamata Banerjee is quite stark. “In West Bengal, there are three kinds of laws: one for the nephew, one for minority appeasement, and one for common people.” he added. West Bengal was one of the most important beneficiary of this scheme. The Trinamool, on the other hand, is fighting its toughest opposition since 2011. In 2019-20 while rest of the States struggled to show even some growth, Bengal’s revenues had grown 12% in the first 11 months, With 10 months to go for the assembly elections, Mamata is ahead. Be it PM-Awas Yojana or PM Gram Sadak Yojana, every central government scheme led to the inclination of voters towards BJP. He challenged the Bengal Congress leader of putting forward the socio-economic indicator of his constituency. Versus 2019 Lok Sabha, TMC is seeing a loss of 3 segments out of 6 it won. “The aim is to build a strong Bengal in a new era of development. Like in Bihar, where the BJP did not have a CM face, in Bengal too, the BJP clearly has no one to match Mamata’s personality cult. While the 2019 result could be attributed to Narendra Modi, the opinion poll results show a much serious anti-incumbency in the state. Watch Times Now LIVE TV for latest and breaking news from India and around the world. It’s a constitutional matter and the Centre takes a decision based on the report from the governor.”. Whoever manages this well will win Bengal Election 2021, Read our analysis on Bengal Election 2021 on Daily Hunt, Read our Previous analysis on Bengal Politics and Events, Join our Fantasy Game on Bengal CM race on crowdwisdom360. What happened in Eastern Ladakh during the last week of August? For example, in Jharkhand, the gap between Hemant Soren and Raghubar Das was much lesser in April 2019. Younger faces and backing grassroot movements seem to have worked. Ruling TMC Hyderabad: In what is sure to ring alarm bells in the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress camp, All India Majlis-e-Ittehad-ul-Muslimeen (AIMIM) chief Asaduddin Owaisi on Tuesday announced that his party will contest West Bengal Assembly elections 2021. Overall, BJP is making huge gains in North Bengal assembly polls leaving Trinamool and the Left front behind. -, West Bengal BJP MLA found Hanging : Is it a murder? Before the beginning of Lok Sabha election 2019, Modi government was able to penetrate in almost 100% of rural households of Bengal. “The state tops the chart in political killings. BJP, which was nowhere in political scene of West Bengal came second in the state. He urged the people to give the BJP, under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, a chance in the 2021 assembly election so that it could deliver ‘shonar Bangla’ (golden Bengal) to the masses. In the previous elections in 2016, the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) retained its majority in the Legislative Assembly. In Bengal, after BJP government came to power in 2014, there were around 38,000 villages where since independence electricity did not reach. In the 2019 lok Sabha elections all the Lok Sabha seats in this district. While replying to 'vote katua' jibe, the AIMIM chief lambasted Congress MP Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury, questioning the amount of development work done in his Lok Sabha constituency Berhampore. The BJP made a huge entry in the state once ruled by Left and then by Trinamool Congress for a long time. The reason for Mamata Banerjee not allowing this central scheme in her state was not a conflict with Modi government. Even at height of Modi wave in 2014, BJP had managed to win 2 Lok Sabha seats out of 42. What do the Bihar polls say about the impending West Bengal elections? In 2019, 41 percent of the Trinamool’s candidates were women. This shows that in Bengal too, where the Left still has a very large organizational and cadre base, Lal Salaam chants can make a significant come back. You have insufficient coins to play the quiz. Then the By Elections took place & this Wave Evaporated. Reacting to it, TMC leader Sukhendu Sekhar Roy accused Shah of peddling a “bunch of lies”. Defected leaders like Mukul Roy, Arjun Singh, Soumitra Khan, Anupam Hazra It did not manage to even a single Lok Sabha seat. “He was quoting an NCRB report of 2018 to prove women are not safe in Bengal. Mukul Roy proved to be one of the most In the 2019 elections, a large section of the Left voters in the state were said to have voted BJP as an alternative to Mamata Banerjee. However, by the time of Lok Sabha 2019 election, Modi government was able to complete its mission of 100% electrification of around 38,000 un-electrified villages of West Bengal.